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| #804970 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 03.Oct.2015) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 1500 UTC SAT OCT 03 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR BERMUDA...THE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 72.0W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 936 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......160NE 180SE 130SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 210SE 210SW 570NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 72.0W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 72.6W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 27.9N 70.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.7N 68.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 200SE 160SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 33.0N 66.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 160SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 35.0N 65.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.0N 59.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 65NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 43.5N 45.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 48.5N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 72.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
