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#805195 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 04.Oct.2015) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 0900 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 67.7W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT.......140NE 180SE 100SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..320NE 360SE 320SW 620NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 67.7W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 68.2W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 31.6N 66.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 180SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.7N 65.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 35.5N 64.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 37.6N 61.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 100SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 41.8N 49.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 45.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 50.0N 21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N 67.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |