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| #805513 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 AM 05.Oct.2015) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 0900 UTC MON OCT 05 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 65.2W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......180NE 160SE 140SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 480SE 360SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 65.2W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 65.4W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 35.4N 64.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 37.1N 61.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 38.6N 56.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 200SE 180SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.9N 50.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 240SE 240SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 42.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 240SE 240SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 43.5N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 45.0N 17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 65.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
