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#805989 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 06.Oct.2015) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 0300 UTC WED OCT 07 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 53.1W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 25 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 140SE 120SW 90NW. 34 KT.......150NE 210SE 240SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 360SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 53.1W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 54.9W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 41.0N 47.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 140SE 120SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 240SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.1N 39.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...110NE 140SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 270SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.4N 31.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 140SE 130SW 100NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 300SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 44.7N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...120NE 160SE 130SW 0NW. 34 KT...300NE 360SE 300SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 44.0N 17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 300SE 240SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 43.0N 13.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N 53.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA |