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| #806169 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 07.Oct.2015) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 500 PM AST WED OCT 07 2015 ...JOAQUIN HAS BEGUN ITS TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.5N 41.0W ABOUT 700 MI...1125 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 37 MPH...59 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Joaquin was located near latitude 41.5 North, longitude 41.0 West. Joaquin is moving toward the east near 37 mph (59 km/h), and an eastward to east-northeastward motion is expected to continue for the next day or two with some decrease in forward speed forecast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Joaquin is forecast to lose tropical characteristics this evening, and to become a large extratropical cyclone by Thursday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Joaquin will continue to affect Atlantic Canada during the next day or so. Swells affecting much of the eastern coast of the United States are now mostly associated with a non-tropical area of low pressure over the western Atlantic, and these swells are expected to continue for the next day or two. Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely in association with these swells. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake |
