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| #814022 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:51 AM 10.Nov.2015) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015 1000 AM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...KATE MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.2N 74.7W ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Kate. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM EST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kate was located near latitude 30.2 North, longitude 74.7 West. Kate is moving toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today with an increase in forward speed. A turn toward the east-northeast and a further increase in forward speed are expected tonight and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Kate is expected to remain well offshore of the east coast of the United States and pass north of Bermuda tonight and early Wednesday. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Kate is forecast to become a hurricane by tonight. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The latest minimum central pressure based on data from the aircraft is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells from Kate affecting the eastward-facing beaches in the northwestern Bahamas should gradually subside today. Swells from Kate will begin to affect Bermuda tonight and continue through Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM EST. $$ Forecaster Brennan |
