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#814081 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:33 PM 10.Nov.2015) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015 400 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...KATE RACING NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.2N 72.7W ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Kate. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 PM EST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kate was located near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 72.7 West. Kate is moving toward the northeast near 30 mph (48 km/h). A turn toward the east-northeast and an increase in forward speed are expected by tonight, and this fast east-northeastward motion is expected to continue through Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Kate is expected to remain well offshore of the east coast of the United States and pass north of Bermuda tonight and early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Kate is expected to become a hurricane tonight. Kate is forecast to lose tropical characteristics Wednesday night or Thursday, but remain a powerful cyclone through that time. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells from Kate will begin to affect Bermuda tonight and continue through Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM EST. $$ Forecaster Brennan |