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#8266 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:30 AM 14.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM AST TUE SEP 14 2004 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN NEARING TROPICAL STORM STATUS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHEN LESSER ANTILLES TO THE NORTH OF GUADELOUPE. AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS ESTIMATED NEAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES... 265 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE DRIFTING WESTWARD BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTHWEST NEAR TRACK NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 50 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 9 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION. REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...16.6 N... 62.5 W. MOVEMENT DRIFTING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER AVILA |