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| #8385 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 14.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST TUE SEP 14 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 64.5 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR ST. CROIX LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND NEAR PUERTO RICO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES ... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...17.2 N... 64.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER JARVINEN |
