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| #8404 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:46 AM 15.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS ESTIMATED FROM SAN JUAN RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 56 KM... SOUTH OF ST. CROIX. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR PUERTO RICO DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES ... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER. UNCONFIRMED REPORTS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH...AND A GUST TO 75 MPH...HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM AN ELEVATED LOCATION ON ST. CROIX. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE. REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...17.2 N... 64.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER KNABB/JARVINEN |
