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| #8462 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:47 AM 15.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004 ...JEANNE NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH AS RAINBANDS REACH EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO AFFECTING OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS ESTIMATED FROM SAN JUAN RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES... 115 KM... SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE PASSING OVER PUERTO RICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES ... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE. REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...17.6 N... 65.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN |
