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| #8508 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:53 PM 15.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM AST WED SEP 15 2004 ...JEANNE MAKES LANDFALL OVER PUERTO RICO AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EASTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABREERA SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABRERA TO PUERTO PLATA...AND FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF ISLA SAONA TO SANTO DOMINGO. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.1 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS...THE CENTER OF JEANNE MADE LANDFALL ON PUERTO RICO NEAR YABUCOA. THE FORECAST MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER THROUGH CENTRAL AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN INTO THE ATLANTIC AND NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS...POSSIBLY SUSTAINED AT HURRICANE FORCE...ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE ONCE JEANNE MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC...AND IT COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. SAN JUAN RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 63 MPH...101 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY. REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...18.1 N... 66.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN |
