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| #858230 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 28.May.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 1100 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016 ...BONNIE A BIT STRONGER BUT THE MAIN THREAT IS HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.0N 79.5W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF BEAUFORT SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 31.0 North, longitude 79.5 West. Bonnie is currently stationary. A motion toward the north-northwest is expected to begin overnight, followed by a turn toward the north as the center of Bonnie moves near the coast in the warning area on Sunday. A slow northeastward motion near the central and northern coast of South Carolina is expected Sunday night and Monday. Data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected overnight. Some weakening is expected to begin by late Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km), mainly to the northwest of the center. The latest estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the aircraft is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts around 6 inches from central and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border. Rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected across southeastern North Carolina. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area overnight or early Sunday. STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the next high tide on Sunday morning. SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado will be possible late tonight and early Sunday over the immediate South Carolina coastal region. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan |
