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#858262 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:55 AM 29.May.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 800 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016 ...BONNIE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR THE COAST... ...HEAVY RAINS STILL AFFECTING MUCH OF EASTERN GEORGIA AND PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.7N 79.6W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Bonnie was located near latitude 32.7 North, longitude 79.6 West. Bonnie is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the center of Bonnie is expected to move onshore near the south-central coast of South Carolina this morning. A slow northeastward motion near the coast of northeastern South Carolina is expected by tonight and on Monday. Data from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours, followed by slow weakening on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches from central and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border, and 1 to 3 inches farther north across southeastern North Carolina. Heavy rain is expected to develop well north of Bonnie's main circulation into parts of the Mid-Atlantic region and the Northeast with total accumulations of 1 to 2 inches through Monday and isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches. WIND: Wind gusts to near tropical-storm force are possible along the south-central coast of South Carolina today. STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground level is possible along portions of the south-central coast of South Carolina today. SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce dangerous surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown/Kimberlain |