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| #858969 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 05.Jun.2016) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016 1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 05 2016 ...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE ATLANTIC COAST... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.6N 87.8W ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Watch is changed to a Tropical Storm Warning from Altamaha Sound Georgia to the Flagler/Volusia County Line Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued south of the Flagler/Volusia County Line to Sebastian Inlet Florida. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued north of Altamaha Sound Georgia to the South Santee River South Carolina. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Indian Pass to Englewood * Altamaha Sound to Sebastian Inlet A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Altamaha Sound to South Santee River A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was located near latitude 23.6 North, longitude 87.8 West. Colin is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A north-northeastward to northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected tonight through Monday. On this track, the center of Colin is forecast to approach the coast of the Florida Big Bend area Monday afternoon or evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast before Colin reaches the coast of Florida. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...Colin is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible across the northeastern Yucatan peninsula, western Cuba, western Florida, eastern Georgia, and coastal areas of the Carolinas through Tuesday. STORM SURGE...The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Indian Pass to Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft with slightly higher amounts possible in a few locations. Tampa Bay south to Florida Bay...1 to 2 ft. Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf is possible along the Florida East coast within the Tropical Storm Watch area. The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND...Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the Gulf coast within the warning area by Monday afternoon, and the Atlantic coast within the warning area by early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible along the Atlantic coast within the watch area on Tuesday. TORNADOES...A few tornadoes are possible on Monday across portions of Florida and far southern Georgia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
