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| #859158 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 AM 07.Jun.2016) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016 500 AM EDT TUE JUN 07 2016 ...CENTER OF COLIN MOVING INTO THE ATLANTIC EAST OF THE GEORGIA COAST... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.6N 80.6W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM NE OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning is discontinued along the Atlantic coast south of Altamaha Sound, Georgia, and along the Gulf coast of Florida. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altamaha Sound Georgia to Oregon Inlet North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was located near latitude 31.6 North, longitude 80.6 West. Colin is moving toward the northeast near 31 mph (50 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed today and tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Colin should move near and parallel to the coast of the southeastern United States today. However, it's important to note that the strongest winds and heaviest rains are well removed from the center. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and ship data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some increase in strength is expected during the next 24 hours. However, Colin is also expected to lose its tropical cyclone characteristics by tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) mainly to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). NOAA buoy 41008 recently reported a pressure of 1002.0 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Colin is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches across eastern North Carolina and central Florida through today. Rainfall is expected to diminish across northern Florida, coastal Georgia, and eastern South Carolina this morning. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Indian Pass to Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft with slightly higher amounts possible in a few locations. Tampa Bay south to Florida Bay...1 to 2 ft. Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf are possible along the Atlantic coast from Florida to North Carolina within the tropical storm warning area. The surge along the Florida Gulf coast should diminish today. The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions could occur over portions of the warning area today. TORNADOES: A tornado or two will remain possible across parts of the coastal Carolinas today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven |
