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| #859196 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:01 AM 07.Jun.2016) TCPAT3 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016 1100 AM EDT TUE JUN 07 2016 ...COLIN BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...GUSTY WINDS AND RAINS OVER THE OUTER BANKS SHOULD BE ENDING SOON... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 77.0W ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued along the North Carolina coast south of Cape Lookout. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Caple Lookout to Oregon Inlet North Carolina This warning will likely be discontinued early this afternoon. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Colin was estimated near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 77.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with some increase in forward speed this afernoon and tonight. The center of Colin will move near and parallel to the Outer Banks of North Carolina during the next couple of hours, then offshore well east of the mid-Atlantic coast later today. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts, although the system's strongest winds and heaviest rains are located over water well southeast of the center. Some slight strengthening is possible today and tonight, but gradual weakening is expected to begin on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) primarily to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Colin is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches across far eastern North Carolina and 1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches, across central Florida through this evening. STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along the west coast of the Florida peninsula, but are expected to subside by this evening. Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf are possible along the Outer Banks of North Carolina within the tropical storm warning area. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions could occur over portions of the warning area through early afternoon. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown |
