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| #862602 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:43 AM 20.Jun.2016) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016 700 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON... ...DANIELLE SPREADING RAINS ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 96.0W ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Laguna Verde to Rio Panuco Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danielle was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 96.0 West. Danielle is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue over the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Danielle is expected to move inland over eastern Mexico later today or tonight. Recent reports from an Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is forecast before Danielle makes landfall in Mexico later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure recently measured by the reconnaissance aircraft was 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Danielle is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible in higher terrain over the Mexican states of Veracruz, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosi, Queretaro, Hidalgo, and northern Puebla. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast within portions of the warning area later this morning, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
