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#862678 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 20.Jun.2016) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016 400 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2016 ...DANIELLE NEARING THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUING ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 97.0W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ENE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Laguna Verde to Rio Panuco Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danielle was located near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 97.0 West. Danielle is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest or west is expected during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Danielle is expected to move inland over eastern Mexico later tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before Danielle makes landfall in Mexico tonight. Rapid weakening is expected after the center of Danielle moves inland over Mexico. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Danielle is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 16 inches possible in higher terrain over the Mexican states of Veracruz, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosi, Queretaro, Hidalgo, and northern Puebla. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. More than 8 inches of rain have already occurred at Poza Rica de Hidalgo, Mexico. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to occur over portions of the warning area through tonight. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |