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| #8652 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 PM 15.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST WED SEP 15 2004 ...JEANNE STILL HUGGING THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF PUERTO RICO... AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING WESTWARD TO LA PLATA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM LA PLATA SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA. AT 11 PM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM WEST OF PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO MONTE CRISTO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA... AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. AT 11 PM AST...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO. ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES... 32 KM...WEST OF ISABELA PUERTO RICO. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE FORECAST MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. AFTER THE TROPICAL STORM MOVES AWAY FROM PUERTO RICO...SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MONA PASSAGE AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN STILL BE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH AND WEST COAST OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS PUERTO RICO HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH NAGUABO IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND HAVING RECEIVED MORE THAN 24 INCHES OF RAINFALL. MANY RIVERS ON PUERTO RICO ARE ALREADY AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...18.5 N... 67.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER STEWART |
