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| #873321 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 29.Aug.2016) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1000 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016 ...DEPRESSION BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.9N 85.5W ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM W OF KEY WEST FLORIDA ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM WNW OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 23.9 North, longitude 85.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected later tonight. A turn toward northwest and north-northwest is expected Tuesday and Tuesday night, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will continue to move slowly away from western Cuba, and move into the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches) based on recent data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches over western Cuba through Wednesday. Isolated maximum storm-total amounts of 12 inches are possible over western Cuba. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Total rain accumulations of 3 to 7 inches are possible over much of the Florida peninsula through Thursday. Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible along the west coast of Florida from Naples to Steinhatchee. This rainfall may cause flooding and flash flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
