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| #874850 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:37 AM 14.Sep.2016) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 800 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2016 ...JULIA LIKELY TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.2N 81.7W ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM W OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 010 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from Fernandina Beach to Altamaha Sound has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: None. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was located near latitude 31.2 North, longitude 81.7 West. Julia is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h). A reduction in forward speed is expected today, and Julia is forecast to drift northward over eastern Georgia during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next day or so, and Julia is expected to weaken to a tropical depression later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) primarily over water to the northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force are possible along portions of the coasts of Georgia and southern South Carolina this morning. RAINFALL: Julia is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain near the Georgia and South Carolina coastlines through Friday afternoon. Isolated totals of 10 inches are possible. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding. Flooding may be further compounded with persistent strong onshore flow reducing river and stream discharges. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible across northeast Florida today. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado is possible across coastal Georgia and southern South Carolina today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
