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| #874868 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 14.Sep.2016) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 1100 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2016 ...JULIA MOVING SLOWLY NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.4N 81.3W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was located near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 81.3 West. Julia is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h) and a slow and erratic motion is expected over the next couple of days. Julia is likely to meander near the northern Georgia or southern South Carolina coastlines through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Julia is expected to become a tropical depression overnight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) to the northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force are possible along portions of the coasts of Georgia and southern South Carolina today. RAINFALL: Julia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches along the immediate coastline of South Carolina from Georgetown southward, and 2 to 4 inches near Savannah, Georgia. Isolated maximum amounts up to 10 inches are possible along the immediate coast of South Carolina. Julia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches elsewhere along the coast from far northeast Florida to far southern North Carolina. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding, especially in Georgia and South Carolina. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado is possible across southern South Carolina today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
