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#874920 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 14.Sep.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IAN ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016 1100 PM AST WED SEP 14 2016 ...IAN MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.9N 53.4W ABOUT 670 MI...1075 KM ENE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ian was located near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 53.4 West. Ian is moving toward the north-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected by late Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, but Ian is expected to lose its tropical characteristics on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |