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| #875018 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:04 PM 15.Sep.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IAN ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016 1100 PM AST THU SEP 15 2016 ...IAN EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.9N 44.9W ABOUT 1305 MI...2105 KM NE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 995 MI...1605 KM WNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 53 MPH...85 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ian was located near latitude 42.9 North, longitude 44.9 West. Ian is moving toward the northeast near 53 mph (85 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and Ian is forecast to become a storm-force extratropical low by Friday afternoon. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
