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#875264 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:07 PM 18.Sep.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 500 PM AST SUN SEP 18 2016 ...KARL POISED TO STRENGTHEN LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 45.0W ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 45.0 West. Karl is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Karl is forecast to begin strengthening later tonight or on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |