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Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in Jamaica and SW Haiti. Catastrophic flash flooding and landslides could begin by Sat. plus pos extreme wind dmg. #Melissa
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 379 (Milton) , Major: 379 (Milton) Florida - Any: 379 (Milton) Major: 379 (Milton)
16.0N 75.5W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1001mb
Moving:
Stationary
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#875264 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:07 PM 18.Sep.2016)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
500 PM AST SUN SEP 18 2016

...KARL POISED TO STRENGTHEN LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 45.0W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 45.0 West. Karl is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A westward to
west-northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Karl is forecast to begin strengthening later tonight or on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart