Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995
The Atlantic is quiet
|
Show Selection: |
| #875674 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:01 AM 23.Sep.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 500 AM AST FRI SEP 23 2016 ...CORE OF KARL FORECAST TO PASS JUST EAST OF BERMUDA EARLY SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.9N 64.8W ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located near latitude 27.9 North, longitude 64.8 West. Karl is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected today, and a turn to the northeast is anticipated by tonight or early Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Karl should pass near or to the east of Bermuda late tonight or early Saturday. Data from Air Force and NOAA Hurricane Hunter planes indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Karl could become a hurricane on Saturday as it moves away from Bermuda. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) primarily to the north of the center. The minimum central pressure estimated by reconnaissance aircraft was 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda tonight. RAINFALL: Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over Bermuda through Saturday and early Sunday. SURF: Swells generated by Karl are already affecting Bermuda and are expected to increase during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila |
