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| #875736 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:58 PM 23.Sep.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 800 PM AST FRI SEP 23 2016 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT KARL IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 65.2W ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...105 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case during the next 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case during the next 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 65.2 West. Karl is moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h) but is expected to turn sharply toward the northeast during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Karl is forecast to move near or east of Bermuda tonight or Saturday morning. Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (105 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Karl is forecast to reach hurricane intensity on Saturday and then should become post-tropical on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter data is 990 mb (29.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are beginning to spread across Bermuda and will continue through early Saturday morning. Hurricane conditions are also possible on Bermuda tonight. RAINFALL: Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over Bermuda through Saturday. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda overnight. SURF: Swells generated by Karl are affecting Bermuda and are expected to increase during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |
