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| #875799 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 24.Sep.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 1100 AM AST SAT SEP 24 2016 ...CONDITIONS IMPROVING ON BERMUDA AS KARL HEADS FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.8N 62.7W ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM ENE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1085 MI...1745 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Bermuda. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located near latitude 32.8 North, longitude 62.7 West. Karl is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h). A northeastward motion at a much faster forward speed is expected during the next 36 hours. On the forecast track, Karl will continue moving quickly away from Bermuda today. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Karl is expected to reach hurricane intensity on Sunday and remain at hurricane strength when it becomes a post-tropical cyclone Sunday night. Karl is forecast to be absorbed by an extratropical cyclone early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force are possible on Bermuda today. SURF: Swells generated by Karl will continue affecting Bermuda through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brennan |
