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| #876266 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:07 AM 29.Sep.2016) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1100 AM AST THU SEP 29 2016 ...MATTHEW CONTINUES WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 66.3W ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM NE OF CURACAO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 66.3 West. Matthew is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and a general westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. Reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Matthew is forecast to become a hurricane later today or tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure from reconnaissance aircraft data is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba beginning late today. RAINFALL: Rainfall associated with Matthew will begin to diminish across the Lesser Antilles this afternoon, with additional amounts of an inch or less expected. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |
