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| #876319 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:04 PM 29.Sep.2016) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0300 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BONAIRE...CURACAO...AND ARUBA * COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER TO RIOHACHA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. INTERESTS IN JAMAICA... HISPANIOLA...AND EASTERN CUBA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 68.8W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 25SW 60NW. 34 KT.......160NE 100SE 50SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 150SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 68.8W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 68.1W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.0N 70.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 90NE 40SE 25SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 13.9N 72.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 60SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.8N 73.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 60SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.1N 74.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 60SE 60SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.4N 75.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 60SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.7N 75.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N 75.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 68.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
