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#876320 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:06 PM 29.Sep.2016) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1100 PM AST THU SEP 29 2016 ...HURRICANE MATTHEW STRENGTHENING IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 68.8W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM N OF CURACAO ABOUT 595 MI...960 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba * Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours. Interests elsewhere along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor the progress of Matthew. Interests in Jamaica, Hispaniola, and eastern Cuba should also monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was located by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 68.8 West. Matthew is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion with a decrease in forward sped is forecast during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) to the north of the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) to the north of the center. The minimum central pressure estimated by an Air Force reconnaissance plane was 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba tonight and Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible over portions of the watch area in Colombia beginning Friday. RAINFALL: Rainfall associated with Matthew will continue to diminish across the southern Windward Islands this evening. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila |