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| #876705 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 03.Oct.2016) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 2100 UTC MON OCT 03 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY... SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND...AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA * HAITI * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN... GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA... ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY... SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA...THE BAHAMAS...AND IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 74.7W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 180SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 74.7W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 74.9W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.4N 74.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.2N 74.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.0N 74.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.8N 75.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 26.0N 78.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 190SE 130SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.5N 79.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 33.0N 78.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 74.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
