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#876966 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 05.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1100 PM AST WED OCT 05 2016 ...NICOLE CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.0N 64.1W ABOUT 435 MI...705 KM S OF BERMUDA ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was located near latitude 26.0 North, longitude 64.1 West. Nicole is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Thursday. A slow, meandering motion is forecast Thursday night and Friday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast on Thursday, with some weakening anticipated by late Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake |