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#877064 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:52 PM 06.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 200 PM AST THU OCT 06 2016 ...NICOLE BECOMES A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.3N 65.0W ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM S OF BERMUDA ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM N OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 27.2 North, longitude 64.9 West. Nicole is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected later today. A slow and meandering motion is forecast tonight and Friday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is likely over the nest day or so, followed by slow weakening. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Nicole, along with rough surf conditions, will affect Bermuda for the next few days. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |