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#877171 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 07.Oct.2016) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTH TO BOCA RATON HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF BOCA RATON...AS WELL AS FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE * JUPITER INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER * NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO SURF CITY * BOCA RATON TO JUPITER INLET A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO ANCLOTE RIVER INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND IN THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 80.0W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......160NE 140SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 80.0W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 79.7W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.6N 80.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.5N 80.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.6N 79.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...200NE 160SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.1N 77.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 31.5N 74.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 29.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 27.0N 76.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 80.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |