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| #877210 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 07.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1500 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 65.3W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 65.3W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 65.2W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.0N 65.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 26.1N 64.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.4N 64.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.3N 65.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 26.6N 65.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 20NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 28.8N 66.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 32.0N 65.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 65.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
