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| #877305 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 07.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 65.3W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 65.3W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 65.3W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 25.5N 65.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.7N 64.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.8N 65.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N 65.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 27.7N 65.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 30.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 33.5N 65.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 65.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
