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| #877505 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 09.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0900 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 65.7W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 60SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 65.7W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 65.7W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.3N 65.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 110SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.9N 65.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.9N 65.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N 65.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N 66.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.0N 65.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 35.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 65.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
