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#877535 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 09.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1500 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 65.4W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 60SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 65.4W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 65.4W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.4N 65.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.2N 65.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.1N 65.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.0N 65.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 130SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.6N 65.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.8N 64.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 34.9N 59.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 65.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |