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| #877553 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:55 PM 09.Oct.2016) TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 46A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 200 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2016 ...STORM SURGE AND INLAND FLOODING CONTINUES OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.2N 72.9W ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued south of Surf City. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Surf City to Duck * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Matthew was located near latitude 35.2 North, longitude 72.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will move farther offshore of the coast of the North Carolina Outer Banks this afternoon and tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next day or so, and the low is expected to be absorbed within a frontal boundary Monday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km), mainly to the southwest of the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over the warning area this afternoon, and then gradually diminish by this evening. STORM SURGE: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation through this afternoon along the coast from Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina, including portions of the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds. Water levels should subside by this evening. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available at hurricanes.gov. RAINFALL: Life-threatening flooding will continue over portions of eastern North Carolina that have received record rains from Matthew. Consult products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office for additional information and warnings. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect much of the southeastern and Mid-Atlantic coasts of the United States during the next couple of days. These swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown |
