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| #877571 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 PM 09.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 500 PM AST SUN OCT 09 2016 ...NICOLE SLOWLY STRENGTHENING...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON MONDAY... ...EXPECTED TO BEGIN A SLOW NORTHWARD MOVEMENT SOON... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.2N 65.3W ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was located near latitude 24.2 North, longitude 65.3 West. Nicole is nearly stationary. A slow northward motion should commence soon, followed by a turn toward the north-northwest by Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Nicole is expected to become a hurricane on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Nicole and Post-Tropical Cyclone Matthew should increase on Bermuda during the next couple of days. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by the Bermuda Weather Service for additional information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain |
