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| #877595 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 09.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1100 PM AST SUN OCT 09 2016 ...NICOLE NOW DRIFTING NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.4N 65.3W ABOUT 545 MI...880 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 65.3 West. Nicole is moving toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Monday, and a turn toward the northwest is expected by Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is likely tonight. Gradual strengthening is forecast to begin on Monday, and Nicole could become a hurricane by Monday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Nicole and Post-Tropical Cyclone Matthew should increase on Bermuda during the next couple of days. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by the Bermuda Weather Service for additional information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |
