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| #877913 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:45 AM 13.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 36A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 200 AM AST THU OCT 13 2016 ...POWERFUL NICOLE TO STRIKE BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 66.2W ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the large eye of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 66.2 West. Nicole is moving toward the north-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today. On the forecast track, the core of Nicole will pass over or near Bermuda later this morning. Maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Nicole is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected overnight, and Nicole is forecast to be at major hurricane strength when it moves near Bermuda. Some weakening is expected to begin later on Thursday. Nicole has a large area of hurricane-force winds that extend outward up to 65 miles (100 km) from the center. Tropical-storm- force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 950 mb (28.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to begin on Bermuda this morning, with tropical storm conditions expected to begin soon. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 8 feet above normal tide levels in Bermuda. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Nicole is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda during the next few days, and will spread northward along the United States east coast from the Carolinas northward through the next few days. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda overnight and early Thursday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Avila |
