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| #877952 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 13.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1500 UTC THU OCT 13 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 64.6W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 55SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......130NE 160SE 110SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 420SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 64.6W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 65.2W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.8N 62.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 55SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.5N 58.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 37.0N 54.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.3N 51.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.0N 48.7W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 140SW 180NW. 34 KT...340NE 240SE 310SW 380NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 39.0N 47.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 41.0N 44.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 64.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
