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| #877981 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 PM 13.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 500 PM AST THU OCT 13 2016 ...NICOLE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.6N 63.2W ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Bermuda Weather Service has changed the Hurricane Warning for Bermuda to a Tropical Storm Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 33.6 North, longitude 63.2 West. Nicole is moving toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h). A turn toward the east- northeast and an increase in forward speed are expected tonight or on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Nicole will move farther away from Bermuda this evening. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Nicole could become a post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The Bermuda airport recently reported sustained winds of 37 mph (59 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue over Bermuda through this evening. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 8 feet above normal tide levels in Bermuda. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. The storm surge should subside this evening. RAINFALL: Rainfall on Bermuda should diminish this evening. SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda during the next few days, and will spread northward along the United States east coast from the Carolinas northward through the next few days. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |
