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| #877999 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 13.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0300 UTC FRI OCT 14 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 61.2W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 180SE 120SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 400SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 61.2W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 62.1W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.6N 58.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.9N 54.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 200SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.1N 51.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 50SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 240SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.6N 49.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 160NW. 34 KT...300NE 240SE 270SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.0N 47.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...360NE 300SE 300SW 360NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 41.0N 44.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 47.0N 37.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 61.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
