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| #878112 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 15.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 500 AM AST SAT OCT 15 2016 ...RESILIENT NICOLE FORECAST TO RESTRENGTHEN LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.1N 51.6W ABOUT 600 MI...965 KM S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was located near latitude 38.1 North, longitude 51.6 West. Nicole is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h), but a turn to the east with a decrease in forward speed is forecast later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some restrengthening is possible, and Nicole is expected to produce hurricane-force winds again later today. The cyclone is forecast to maintain tropical characteristics for the next several days, but there is still a possibility that Nicole could become post-tropical over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will continue to affect Bermuda and the United States east coast from the Carolinas northward for the next couple of days. Swells from Nicole are beginning to affect the coastline of Atlantic Canada and will continue into the weekend. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila |
