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| #878134 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 AM 15.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1500 UTC SAT OCT 15 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 50.3W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT.......180NE 120SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT.......210NE 210SE 270SW 270NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 450SE 600SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 50.3W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 50.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 39.3N 48.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.4N 47.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.8N 45.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 41.1N 44.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW. 34 KT...330NE 330SE 300SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 47.5N 39.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 60NW. 34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 270NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 56.5N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 64.5N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N 50.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
