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| #878185 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 15.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 48 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1100 PM AST SAT OCT 15 2016 ...NICOLE`S WIND FIELD EXPANDING OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.4N 48.3W ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 39.4 North, longitude 48.3 West. Nicole is moving toward the east near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Sunday. A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is forecast Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, but Nicole is expected to maintain hurricane strength through Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 485 miles (780 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda, the United States east coast from the Carolinas northward, and the coastline of Atlantic Canada for the next couple of days. Swells from Nicole should begin to affect the United States east coast south of the Carolinas, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands during the early part of next week. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |
